据彭博社4月13日报道，国际信贷组合经理协会的一项调查显示，信贷投资组合经理们预测，将来一年企业违约率将上升，84%的受访者觉得美国经济大概在2023年陷入衰退。
Washington: credit portfolio managers are forecasting a rise in corporate defaults in the coming year while more than four-out-of-five participants see a chance of a US recession in 2023, according to a survey by the International association of Credit Portfolio Managers.
依据国际信贷组合管理协会的一项调查，信贷投资组合经理们预测，将来一年美企违约率将上升，超八成的受访者觉得，美国大概在2023年陷入衰退。
The poll found that 81 percent of fund managers see defaults picking up in the next 12 months, compared with 80 percent in the survey last December, as reduced bank liquidity and credit risk concerns land on TOP of macroeconomic issues. For North American corporates, 86 percent of respondents see defaults rising, while 91 percent see defaults rising in Europe.
调查发现，81%的基金经理觉得将来12个月企业违约将加剧，而2022年12月的调查中这一比率为80%，缘由是银行流动性降低，与对信贷风险担心成为宏观经济问题的最重要原因。86%的受访者觉得北美企业违约率将上升，而有91%的受访者觉得欧洲企业违约率将上升。
“Our members have expected to see the impact of rising interest rates for some time and we’re beginning to see more credit stress and defaults in corporate borrowers now,” Som-lok Leung, IA千人展现成本’s executive director, wrote in a statement. “Unfortunately, this could take some time to work its way through the system.”
IA千人展现成本实行董事Som-lok Leung在一份声明中写道：“大家预计利率上升的影响将持续一段时间，目前大家开始看到企业借款人面临更多信贷重压和违约。不幸的是，这可能需要一段时间才能在系统中显现。”
Survey respondents are also predicting a recession in the US, with 84 percent expecting one to occur sometime this year. That’s higher than the 61 percent of participants who see a recession this year in Europe and the UK.
受访者还预计美国将出现衰退，84%的人预计今年某个时候美国经济会发生衰退。这一比率高于61%的受访者觉得欧盟和英国经济今年将出现衰退。
IA千人展现成本 survey participants see certain industries like health care, medium-sized tech companies and defense manufacturers facing tough times in the current environment. Commercial real estate was also cited, given work-from-home trends lowering office occupancy rates and property owners having to refinance in a higher interest rate environment.
IA千人展现成本调查参与者觉得，医疗保健、中型科技公司和国防制造商等某些行业在目前环境下面临艰难时期;商业房产也被觉得是其中一员，由于居家办公的趋势减少了办公室占用率，业主不能不在更高的利率环境下进行再筹资。
重点词语
survey 调查 ; 测量 ; 勘测 ; 民意调查 ; 民意测验 ; 测绘 ; 房子鉴别 ; 总体研究 ; 查询 ; 审视 ; 审查 ; 全方位评述 ; 概述 ; 鉴别，检查 ; 做民意调查，进行民意测验
participants 参与者 ; 参加者 ; participant的复数
certain 某些 ; 一定 ; 确定 ; 确实 ; 确信 ; 无疑 ; 某事，某人，某种 ; 某某，某位，一位叫…的 ; 轻微的
industries 工业 ; 生产制造 ; 行业 ; 勤奋 ; 勤劳 ; industry的复数
health care 医疗
来源：彭博社